The least effected of oil producing countries by falling oil
prices are countries whose cost to extract crude is the lowest or who have lots
of IQD (IQD = Oil Discount Coupons). These countries include USA (lots of
IQD and oil), China (lots of IQD), Iraq (near surface reserves), and Saudi
Arabia (near surface oil).
The countries that are directly hurt the most are high
cost producers or who do not have the same IQD agreements with Iraq and are:
Russia, Venezuela, Syria/ISIS, and a few other high cost oil producing
countries at odds with OPEC. The whole developed and developing world who
are reliant on imported oil will benefit greatly with low oil prices. The
net benefit to the world is undeniable. While domestic USA oil producers
are hurt in the near term the benefit of the RV will dwarf the short term
impact. The mid-term six-12 months period will find oil prices will rise
again to meet the increased world GDP generated by the stimulus of low oil
prices and the GCR.
It is actually a marvelous plan to hurt our enemies, placate
our bondholders, and put our Middle East "friends" at a competitive
advantage by hurting high cost producers reducing their share of global
markets. Opec is dead and new oil alliances will be created to meet new
oil production and political goals or OPEC will crush the high cost producers.
AND THE WHOLE PLAN WORKS TO STRENGTHEN THE DOLLAR FOR BOTH OR EITHER AN
INFLATION RESPONSE (BETTER STARTING VALUE FOR A FUTURE OF RISING INTEREST
RATES) OR A CHANGE TO A COMMODITY BACK CURRENCY (WHICH WILL ALSO PROBABLY WORK
TO WEAKEN USD FIAT CURRENCY DURING THE REPLACEMENT PERIOD). SO YES THE RV
IS RELATED TO THE FALLING OIL PRICES. IQD discounts representing 32-35 DOLLAR A
BARREL STILL REPRESENTS A 25% DISCOUNT TO OIL EVEN IF OIL FALLS TO 40-45 DOLLAR
A BARREL PRICES.
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