Published : July 30th, 2014
1749 words - Reading time : 4 - 6 minutes
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Everything that has happened since 2007, every Central Bank move,
ever major political decision regarding the big banks, every trend,
have all been focused solely on one issue.
That issue is collateral.
What is collateral?
Collateral is an underlying asset that is pledged when a party
enters into a financial arrangement. It is essentially a promise
that should things go awry, you have some “thing” that is of value,
which the other party can get access to in order to compensate them for
their losses.
You no doubt are familiar with this concept on a personal level: any
time you take out a bank loan the bank wants something pledged as
collateral should you fail to pay the money back. In the case of
property, the property itself is usually the collateral posted on the
mortgage. So if you fail to pay your mortage, the bank can seize the
home and sell it to recoup the losses on the mortgage loan (at least in
theory).
In this sense, collateral is a kind of “insurance” for any financial
transaction; it is a way that the parties involved mitigate the risk of
their deal not working out.
As many of you know, our entire global financial system is based on
leverage or borrowed money. Collateral is what allows this to work.
Without collateral, there is no trust between financial institutions.
Without trust there is no borrowed money. And without borrowed money,
money does not enter the financial system.
In this sense, collateral is the “reality” underlying the
“imaginary” or “borrowed” component of leverage: the asset is real and
can be used to back-stop a proposed deal/ trade that has yet to come to
fruition.
For finacial firms, at the top of the corporate food chain,
sovereign bonds are the senior-most form of collateral.
Modern financial theory dictates that sovereign bonds are the most
“risk free” assets in the financial system (equity, municipal bond,
corporate bonds, and the like are all below sovereign bonds in terms of
risk profile). The reason for this is because it is far more likely for
a company to go belly up than a country.
Because of this, the entire Western financial system has sovereign
bonds (US Treasuries, German Bunds, Japanese sovereign bonds, etc.) as
the senior most asset pledged as collateral for
hundreds of trillions of Dollars worth of trades.
Indeed, the global derivatives market is roughly $700 trillion in
size. That’s over TEN TIMES the world’s GDP. And sovereign
bonds... including even bonds from bankrupt countries such as Spain...
are one of, if not the primary collateral underlying
all of these trades.
How did the world get this way?
Back in 2004, the large banks (think Goldman, JP Morgan, etc.)
lobbied the SEC to allow them to increase their leverage levels. In
very simple terms, the banks wanted to use the same collateral
to backstop much larger trades. So whereas before a bank might have $1
worth of collateral for every $10 worth of trades, under the new
regulation, banks would be able to have $1 worth of collateral for
every $20, $30, even $50 worth of trades.
Another component of the ruling was that the banks could abandon
“mark to market” valuations for their securities. What this means is
that the banks no longer had to value what they owned accurately, or
based on what the “market” would pay for them.
Instead, the banks could value everything they owned, including
their massive derivatives portfolios worth tens of trillions of Dollars
using in-house models... or basically make believe.
This is getting a bit technical so let’s use a real world example.
Imagine if you had $100,000 in savings in the bank. Then imagine that
the bank let you use this $100,000 to buy millions and millions of
dollars worth of real estate. Then imagine that the bank told you, “we
aren’t going to have our analysts independently value your real estate,
you can simply tell us what you think it’s worth.”
In this set up, you would potentially buy $10 million worth of real
estate or more... using just $100,000. But what if your newly purchased
real estate drops in value to $5 million? No worries, you could simply
tell the bank, “my analysis indicates that the properties are worth $20
million.” The bank believes you so you continue to buy more
properties.
This sounds completely ludicrous, but that is precisely the
environment that banks operated in post-2004. As a result, today US
banks alone are sitting on over $200 TRILLION worth of derivates
trades. These are trades that the banks can value at whatever
valuation they want.
Now, every large bank/ broker dealer knows that
the other banks/dealers are overstating the value of their securities.
As a result, these derivatives trades, like all financial instruments,
require collateral to be pledged to insure that if the trades
blow up, the other party has access to some asset to compensate it for
the loss.
As a result, the ultimate backstop for the $700+ trillion
derivatives market today is sovereign bonds.
When you realize this, the entire picture for the Central Banks’
actions over the last five years becomes clear: every move has been
about accomplishing one of two things:
- Giving the
over-leveraged banks access to cash for immediate funding needs
(QE 1, QE 2, QE3 and QE 4 in the US... and LTRO 1, LTRO 2 in the
EU.)
- Giving the banks
a chance to swap out low grade collateral (Mortgage
Backed Securities and other garbage debts) for cash that they
could use to purchase higher grade collateral (QE 1’s MBS
component, Operation Twist 2 which lets bank their long-term
Treasuries and buy short-term Treasuries, QE 3, etc).
All of this is a grand delusion meant to draw attention away from
the fact that the financial system is on very, very thin ice due to the
fact that there is very little high quality collateral backstopping the
$700+ trillion derivatives market.
Indeed, if you want further evidence that the financial elites are
already preparing for a default from Spain and a collateral crunch, you
should consider that the large clearing houses (ICE, CEM and LCH which
oversee the trading of the $700+ trillion derivatives market) have ALL
begun accepting Gold as collateral.
Gold as Collateral Acceptable for Margin Cover Purposes
From 28 August 2012 unallocated Gold (Loco London) will be
accepted by LCH.Clearnet Limited (LCH.Clearnet) as collateral for
margin cover purposes.
This addition to acceptable margin collateral will be subject to the
following criteria;
Available for members clearing OTC precious metals forwards (LCH
EnClear Precious Metals division) or precious metals contracts on the
Hong Kong Mercantile Exchange. Acceptable to cover margin requirements
for all markets cleared on both House and ‘Segregated’ omnibus Client
accounts.
http://www.lchclearnet.com/member_notices/cir.../2012-08-21.asp
CME Clearing Europe to
Accept Gold as Collateral on Demand
CME Clearing Europe will accept physical gold as collateral,
extending the list of assets it’s prepared to receive as regulators
globally push more derivatives trading through clearing houses.
CME Group Inc. (CME)’s European clearing house, based in London,
appointed Deutsche Bank AG (DBK), HSBC Holdings Plc and JPMorgan Chase
& Co. as gold depositaries. There will be a 15 percent charge on
the market value of gold deposits and a limit of $200 million or 20
percent of the overall initial margin requirement per clearing member
based on whichever is lower, Andrew Lamb, chief executive officer of
CME Clearing Europe, said today.
“We started with a narrow range of government securities and are now
extending that,” Lamb said in an interview today. “We recognize
there will be a massive demand for collateral as a result of the
clearing mandate. This is part of our attempt to maintain the risk
management standard and to offer greater flexibility to clearing members
and end clients.”
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-08-17/cme-...-demand-1-.html
It is no coincidence that this began only when the possibility of a
sovereign default from Greece or Spain began. The large clearinghouses
see the writing on the wall (that defaults are coming accompanied by a
mad scramble for collateral) and so are moving away from paper
(sovereign bonds) into hard money to attempt to stay afloat.
The most telling item is that clearinghouses now view Gold as money.
Indeed, you can see this fact in other stories indicating that various
entites are concerned about having their gold stored “inhouse” if the stuff
ever hits the fan.
Texas Republican State Representative Giovanni Capriglione
authored the bill demanding state owned gold bars be returned to the
Lone Star State. The legislation to pull $1 billion in gold reserves
from a Federal Reserve vault in New York is supported by Governor Rick
Perry...
“For us to have our own gold, a lot of the runs on the bank
and those types of things, they happen because people are worried that
there’s nothing there to back it up.”
Governor Perry stated that if Texas owns the gold, then no one
else should be able to determine if the state can reclaim possession of
the bars of precious metal. Representative Capriglione also noted that
Texas is not interested in implementing its own gold standard.
According to the Republican’s statements about the gold bars bill, he
simply wants to bolster the state’s fiscally secure reputation. The
Texas public servant also feels that such a solid financial persona
would be beneficial in case an international of national fiscal crisis
occurred.
The legislation notes the state does not merely want gold
certificates from the Federal Reserve, they want the actual gold bars
to store inside a planned Texas Bullion Depository. Moving
$1 billion in gold bars from New York to Texas would be a huge task,
one some are calling impractical. State Representative Capriglione
suggested selling the gold currently housed inside the New York vault
and then repurchasing the same amount in Texas.
http://www.inquisitr.com/600185/texas-wants-g...60ztpexhAROW.99
Take note, Gold is officially money for the most powerful entities
in the world. They are not only accepting Gold as collateral but are
openly trying to insure that they have their own Gold in safe custody.
Gold is money. And it’s a great way to protect you from a potential
crisis.
This concludes this article. If you’re looking for the means of
protecting your portfolio from the coming collapse, you can pick up a
FREE investment report titled Protect Your Portfolio athttp://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/special-reports.html.
This report outlines a number of strategies you can implement to
prepare yourself and your loved ones from the coming market carnage.
Best Regards
Phoenix Capital Research
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1 comment:
My question is, when the new TRN's are issued, will we be able to take them to the bank and demand physical gold in exchange? I doubt it. Otherwise, they are not really backed by gold. Just because the government or the bankers say there is gold on deposit to back the new currency does not mean there is. In fact, there probably will not be. Government employees, bankers and the media are all liars. They prefer to lie when the truth is easier. It's their nature, it's their habit, it is their guiding principle, lie, lie, lie. Never let the truth come out. I suspect the new Treasury Reserve Notes will be just like the Federal Reserve Notes, a promise to pay later. A promise that will never be honored. Once the printing presses go into operation, they will run 24/7 spitting out worthless paper. Who is going to oversee the operation? Who is going to insure honesty? The bankers? The government? The American people are so easy to fool, why change now?
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