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Tuesday, September 25, 2012

LAS VEGAS ODDS


Subject:  LAS VEGAS ODDS


NOTE:  I RECEIVED THIS FROM A FREIND AND I TRUST HE IS CORRECT!
He did not mention us OLD JEWISH MEN who understand… fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me. And we know what never again means.
DIRECT FROM CAESARS PALACE

A Las Vegas "odds maker" gives his reasons for big win by Romney in November.

Most political predictions are made by biased pollsters, pundits, or prognosticators who are either rooting for Republicans or Democrats. I am neither.
I am a former Libertarian Vice Presidential nominee, and a well-known Vegas odds maker with one of the most accurate records of predicting political races.

But as an odds maker with a pretty remarkable track record of picking political races, I play no favorites. I simply use common sense to call them as I see them.
Back in late December I released my New Year's Predictions. I predicted back then - before a single GOP primary had been held, with Romney trailing for months to almost every GOP competitor from Rick Perry to Herman Cain to Newt - that Romney would easily rout his competition to win the GOP nomination by a landslide. I also predicted that the Presidential race between Obama and Romney would be very close until election day. But that on election day Romney would win by a landslide similar to Reagan-Carter in 1980.

Understanding history, today I am even more convinced of a resounding Romney victory. 32 years ago at this moment in time, Reagan was losing by 9 points to Carter. Romney is right now running even in polls. So why do most pollsters give Obama the edge?

First, most pollsters are missing one ingredient - common sense. Here is my gut instinct. Not one American who voted for McCain 4 years ago will switch to Obama. Not one in all the land. But many millions of people who voted for an unknown Obama 4 years ago are angry, disillusioned, turned off, or scared about the future. Voters know Obama now - and that is a bad harbinger.


** Black voters. Obama has nowhere to go but down among this group. His endorsement of gay marriage has alienated many black church-going Christians. He may get 88% of their vote instead of the 96% he got in 2008. This is not good news for Obama.


** Jewish voters. Obama has been weak in his support of Israel. Many Jewish voters and big donors are angry and disappointed. I predict Obama's Jewish support drops from 78% in 2008 to the low 60's. This is not good news for Obama.

** Youth voters. Obama's biggest and most enthusiastic believers from 4 years ago have graduated into a job market from hell. Young people are disillusioned, frightened, and broke- a bad combination. The enthusiasm is long gone. Turnout will be much lower among young voters, as will actual voting percentages. This not good news for Obama.

** Catholic voters. Obama won a majority of Catholics in 2008. That won't happen again. Out of desperation to please women, Obama went to war with the Catholic Church over contraception. Now he is being sued by the Catholic Church. Majority lost. This is not good news for Obama.

** Small Business owners. Because I ran for Vice President last time around, and I'm a small businessman myself, I know literally thousands of small business owners. At least 40% of them in my circle of friends, fans and supporters voted for Obama 4 years ago to give someone different a chance. As I warned them that he would pursue a war on capitalism and demonize anyone who owned a business . . . that he'd support unions over the private sector in a big way . . . that he'd overwhelm the economy with spending and debt. My friends didn't listen. Four years later, I can't find one person in my circle of small business owner friends voting for Obama. Not one. This is not good news for Obama.

** Blue collar working class whites. Do I need to say a thing ? White working class voters are about as happy with Obama as Boston Red Sox fans feel about the New York Yankees. This is not good news for Obama.

** Suburban moms. The issue isn't contraception, it's having a job to pay for contraception. Obama's economy frightens these moms. They are worried about putting food on the table. They fear for their children's future. This is not good news for Obama.


** Military Veterans. McCain won this group by 10 points. Romney is winning by 24 points. The more our military vets got to see of Obama, the more they disliked him. This is not good news for Obama.

Add it up. Is there one major group where Obama has gained since 2008 ?

Will anyone in America wake up on election day saying, I didn't vote for Obama 4 years ago, but he's done such a fantastic job, I can't wait to vote for him today ? Does anyone feel that a vote for Obama makes their job more secure ?


Forget
the polls. My gut instincts as a Vegas odds maker and common sense small businessman tell me this will be a historic landslide and a world-class repudiation of Obama's radical and risky socialist agenda.

It's Reagan-Carter all over again.

But I'll give Obama credit for one thing . . . he is living proof that familiarity breeds contempt!
God please let this be true, but don't give up the fight, keep helping in any and every way possible to make this dream come true.

11 comments:

  1. what a JOKE!

    Just ask yourself WHO RUNS VEGAS?

    daaaahhhh....

    Another piece of PROPAGANDA to IGNORE!

    ReplyDelete
  2. he must have paid good money to the committee of 300 for the info.

    ReplyDelete
  3. YA THINK? Didn't Romeny attend the Builderberg meeting this year? Need any more be said?

    Everybody go out and vote now.

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  4. Anyone that voted for Bam Bam is 2008 is a complete moron. It's because of you ignorant sobs this country will go down in flames. Oromney is no better.

    ReplyDelete
  5. VOTE TO LOCK THESE 2 DIRTY BIRDS UP.... WE ALL KNOW THET ARE SCUM BAGS WHY DO WE GO ALONG WITH THIS C R A P... WE DO NOT LIVE IN A COUNTRY BUT A CORPORATION...

    ReplyDelete
  6. http://www.veteranstoday.com/2012/09/23/press-tv-secret-video-ties-romney-to-terror-attacks-and-mossad-election-rigging/
    http://www.npr.org/blogs/politicaljunkie/2012/09/24/161241497/as-polls-show-romney-trailing-in-swing-states-obama-edges-towards-270-goal?ft=3&f=1014,1019

    One of the last exciting upcoming events is Mitt Romney goes down in colossal flames, guaranteed. His socialism was finally extreme enough to turn off all Southern Baptists, which makes him dead in the water.

    His direct crime spree to nuke Iran with Diane Feinsteinn, Chuck Schumer and the rest of the Rockefellers is over!!

    Also, he's such a scum bag he will receive a special sucker punch in the mouth. Courtesy of Sons of Liberty. No more Democrats pretending to be Republicans!

    No more Democrats either, or socialist Israel's bullshit since the entire U.S. Delegation walked out on that racist Netanyahu garbage.
    http://www.infowars.com

    ReplyDelete
  7. The BEST thing that could happen is the collapse of the FEDERAL RESERVE and the arrest of all the FEDERAL POLITICIANS in Washington, DC. Install a TEMPORARY CIVILIAN GOVERNMENT and suspend the National Elections for another year so that America can have a real choice of candidates that haven't been chosen for them by the CRIMINAL CABAL!

    ReplyDelete
  8. Intent is EVERYTHING...
    Integrity is the ONLY thing.
    Voting is self abuse.

    ReplyDelete
  9. "WHEN ALL OF THE LIES ABOUT ADOLF HITLER DISAPPEAR, HE WILL EMERGE AS THE GREATEST MAN THAT EVER LIVED." President John F. Kennedy

    ReplyDelete
  10. DING !!! Fries are done !!

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  11. I agree with you -- Romney will win because of all you state:

    Blacks: working blacks are upset and many are gov't workers who have not been given a raise in three years, and probably won't this year as well.

    Jews: Libya has been a real wake-up call for Jews -- if the POTUS didn't protect our own embassador, then how will he help Israel? The POTUS wouldn't even stand with the PM -- this definitely sent a message to all Jews.

    Women: are not one issue voters! The POTUS is definitely underestimating women, especially 40+ who were laid off and cannot find jobs -- look at the unemployment numbers for women under Obama - it's skyrocketed and no one is telling the truth (http://www.politifact.com/).

    Military: are angry at the POTUS who did not protect our ambassador! Why the Marines weren't sent in to protect the embassies is beyond comprehension -- there's no doubt that our military would have protected our fallen Americans. Cuts, cuts, cuts -- the military is tired.

    Catholics -- Paul Ryan is Catholic & ObamaCare is against Catholics. Catholics are not happy.

    No one should worry about Obama -- he will make $$$ come January -- we have to get the country back on track and vote for Romney.

    ReplyDelete