JAN. 15, 2015
BY Carl Zimmer
BY Carl Zimmer
A team of scientists, in a groundbreaking
analysis of data from hundreds of sources, has concluded that humans are
on the verge of causing unprecedented damage to the oceans and the
animals living in them.
“We may be sitting on a precipice of a major
extinction event,” said Douglas J. McCauley, an ecologist at the
University of California, Santa Barbara, and an author of the new research, which was published on Thursday in the journal Science.
But there is still time to avert catastrophe,
Dr. McCauley and his colleagues also found. Compared with the
continents, the oceans are mostly intact, still wild enough to bounce
back to ecological health.
“We’re lucky in many ways,” said Malin L.
Pinsky, a marine biologist at Rutgers University and another author of
the new report. “The impacts are accelerating, but they’re not so bad we
can’t reverse them.”
Scientific assessments of the oceans’ health are
dogged by uncertainty: It’s much harder for researchers to judge the
well-being of a species living underwater, over thousands of miles, than
to track the health of a species on land. And changes that scientists
observe in particular ocean ecosystems may not reflect trends across the
planet.
Dr. Pinsky, Dr. McCauley and their colleagues sought a clearer picture of the oceans’ health by
pulling together data from an enormous range of sources, from
discoveries in the fossil record to statistics on modern container
shipping, fish catches and seabed mining. While many of the findings
already existed, they had never been juxtaposed in such a way.
A number of experts said the result was a remarkable synthesis, along with a nuanced and encouraging prognosis.
“I see this as a call for action to close the
gap between conservation on land and in the sea,” said Loren McClenachan
of Colby College, who was not involved in the study.
There are clear signs already that humans are
harming the oceans to a remarkable degree, the scientists found. Some
ocean species are certainly overharvested, but even greater damage
results from large-scale habitat loss, which is likely to accelerate as
technology advances the human footprint, the scientists reported.
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