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His statistical model has only ever been wrong once in 104 years.
Helmut Norpoth, a professor of political science at Stony Brook University, has developed a statistical model that predicts a 97 percent to 99 percent chance that Trump will win the 2016 presidential election if he wins the Republican nomination, The Blaze reports.
Norpoth's model has correctly predicted the outcome of every single presidential election since 1912 – save one, the election of 1960, which some believe was rigged. It uses a candidate’s performance in their party’s primary coupled with electoral cycle patterns to determine the likely outcome of the general election.
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If Hillary Clinton goes against Trump, the chance of a President Trump is 97 percent, according to the model. If Bernie Sanders wins the Democratic nomination instead, the chances for a Trump victory jump further, to 99 percent.
If the nominee is not Trump, the model predicts that there is still a 61 percent overall chance that a Republican will win the White House, The Statesman reports.
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“This is almost too much to believe,” Norpoth said in a presentation Monday at SUNY Global Center in Manhattan. “Take it to the bank.”
http://linkis.com/www.usnews.com/news/jHVDY
4 comments:
If the Republic isn't restored and the UNITED STATES federal government, Inc. is still in business, he will become president. Most of the time when you see Trump making a speech he is standing in front of a gaggle of flags and they usually have a gold fringe around them. That is what he is running for; president of the UNITED STATES federal government, Inc., NOT, president for the Republic for the united States.
That may be true, but could you tell me anyone who has had any true success fighting the system from the outside of the fortress walls? AVR might be doing a lot of correspondence, but has her hard work produced any tangible and meaningful results? She's intelligent and has the facts on her side and she hasn't had any quantifiable success to speak of. Constitutional sheriffs stand up to the criminal behavior of the feds, and shortly thereafter they are usually unseated or charged with some offense or another, inevitably ending their careers as law enforcement officers. He might only be the President of the United States federal government, but what if that is what we need him to be? What if we need someone who is willing and able to work within the system to cripple it. I don't think he's a perfect candidate, but he has a lot more pros than cons.
I'm not a fan of Alex Jones, but I think this video makes for good food for thought.
http://www.infowars.com/breaking-new-trump-scandal-devastating-info-released/
WE HAVE NO GOVERNMENT SO THIS MATRIX THEY HAVE US LIVING IN IS GOING TO KEEP ON PRETENDING AND ALL THE PATHETIC .....S T U P I D DUMBED DOWN GMO'ED CHEMTRAILED PEOPLE ARE GOING TO JUST KEEP ON BELIEVING IN THE REPUBLIC-CON-ARTISTS..... AND......DEMO-RATS... THE WHOLE WORLD SEES IT EXCEPT THE US PEOPLE. WHAT MAKES NO SENCE TO ME IS WE OUT NUMBER THESE SLAVE MASTERS THOUSANDS TO ONE AND HAVE WAY MORE GUNS THAN NECESSARY.....BUT HAVE NOT ONE LEADER TO LEAD US....
Thanks for the link, I posted it!
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