-WASHINGTON -- Iranian representatives discouraged Houthi rebels from
taking the Yemeni capital of Sanaa last year, according to American
officials familiar with intelligence around the insurgent takeover.
The seizure of the capital in September came as a surprise to the
international community, as Houthi rebels demonstrating outside Sanaa
realized the city was abandoned and effectively unguarded. Despite
Iran's advice, the Houthis walked into the city and claimed it.
The newly disclosed information casts further doubt on claims that the
rebels are a proxy group fighting on behalf of Iran, suggesting that the
link between Iran and the Yemeni Shiite group may not be as strong as
congressional hawks and foreign powers urging U.S. intervention in Yemen
have asserted.
U.S. lawmakers and Gulf state leaders who are skeptical of the nuclear
negotiations with Iran have pointed to the Houthis' rise to power in
Yemen as more evidence of Iran's unhelpful expansionary objectives in
the region. But the news that Iran actually opposed the takeover paints a
more complicated picture. As the regime in Tehran has signaled, the
Iranians are not unhappy to see their Gulf rivals embroiled in conflict
in their neighborhood, but their advice against seizing Sanaa suggests
that controlling Yemen is at best a secondary priority for Iran, far
behind relief from sanctions that could come with a successful nuclear
pact.
On the other hand, the revelation that the Houthis directly disobeyed
Iran gives credibility to the White House's argument that Iran is not
directing the rebels, who follow a different branch of Shiite Islam than
Iran's leaders and are believed to care more about corruption and the
distribution of power in Yemen than the spread of Shiite influence
across the Middle East.
"It remains our assessment that Iran does not exert command and control
over the Houthis in Yemen," Bernadette Meehan, a spokeswoman for the
National Security Council, told The Huffington Post.
U.S. intelligence officials have warned for months that Yemen’s chaos
is a civil war, not a battleground for regional conflict between Iran
and the Sunni-ruled Gulf states. They continue to challenge the
narrative pushed by Sunni nations, led by Saudi Arabia, who have blasted
the Houthi surge and accused the U.S. of abandoning Yemen to a greedy
Iran.
"It is wrong to think of the Houthis as a proxy force for Iran,” a U.S. intelligence official told The Huffington Post.
The Obama administration has recently found itself under renewed
pressure to accept the Gulf narrative about the Houthi-Iran connection.
In March, the Gulf Cooperation Council -- which comprises Saudi Arabia,
the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain and Oman -- made clear
that it would act based on that understanding when it began launching
airstrikes against Houthi targets in Yemen. The Saudi-led intervention
began just days before a vital deadline for the international diplomatic
effort to rein in Iran’s nuclear program, and analysts interpreted it
as a warning: Even as Sunni Arabs publicly expressed cautious support
for a nuclear deal with Iran, they showed they would not shy away from
confronting what they see as Iranian expansionism in the Middle East.
Iran has long provided military and financial support to the Houthi
group, both before and after the rebels took over Sanaa -- though the
exact extent of that support remains unknown. The Houthis have said they
expect to receive Iranian gasoline and electricity generators to
replace supplies once provided by Saudi Arabia and the West.
While that material support is seen as critical to the rebels’
successes, U.S. officials suspect that Tehran’s influence over the group
is limited to the provision of resources. Senior administration
officials have said the U.S. is aware of Iran's channel of support to
the Houthis, and have cautioned the regime against its continued
enabling of the rebel group.
The Iranian government has condemned the Saudi-led offensive against
the Houthis, which has done little to allay suspicions that Yemen is the
latest grab in Iran's quest for regional power. Still, Iran publicly
insists it does not support any foreign intervention in Yemen.
As Yemen has descended further into chaos, Washington has also quietly
backed its Gulf allies in their campaign against the Houthis, offering
logistical, material and intelligence support. U.S. Navy officials say
the aircraft carrier USS Theodore Roosevelt is steaming toward the
waters off Yemen and will join other American ships prepared to
intercept any Iranian vessels carrying weapons to the Houthi rebels
fighting in Yemen. The Navy has been beefing up its presence in the Gulf
of Aden and the southern Arabian Sea amid reports that a convoy of
Iranian ships may be headed toward Yemen to arm the Houthis.
The White House is now preparing to make its most significant outreach
to Iran skeptics in the region. On May 13 and 14, President Barack Obama
will host Gulf leaders in Washington and Camp David. He is expected to
announce a ramped-up U.S. security commitment to the Gulf states that,
according to U.S. and Gulf diplomats who spoke with regional outlet The
National, could take the shape of a NATO-style defense treaty, a nuclear
security umbrella, a non-binding declaration or a promise for greater
tactical cooperation. The president is meeting on Monday with a top
leader from the U.A.E, Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed.
http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article41626.htm
Wednesday, April 22, 2015
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