Here is the comments from the LV odds maker.
A little good news. I sure hope he’s right.
A Las Vegas "odds maker" opines on why Obama will get "killed" by Romney in November.
Wayne Allyn Root
May 30, 2012
Town hall Alerts
Most political predictions are made by biased pollsters, pundits, or prognosticators who are either rooting for Republicans or Democrats. I am neither. I am a former Libertarian Vice Presidential nominee, and a well-known Vegas oddsmaker with one of the most accurate records of predicting political races.
But as an oddsmaker with a pretty remarkable track record of picking political races, I play no favorites. I simply use common sense to call them as I see them. Back in late December I released my New Years Predictions. I predicted back then- before a single GOP primary had been held, with Romney trailing for months to almost every GOP competitor from Rick Perry to Herman Cain to Newt- that Romney would easily rout his competition to win the GOP nomination by a landslide. I also predicted that the Presidential race between Obama and Romney would be very close until election day. But that on election day Romney would win by a landslide similar to Reagan-Carter in 1980.
But as an oddsmaker with a pretty remarkable track record of picking political races, I play no favorites. I simply use common sense to call them as I see them. Back in late December I released my New Years Predictions. I predicted back then- before a single GOP primary had been held, with Romney trailing for months to almost every GOP competitor from Rick Perry to Herman Cain to Newt- that Romney would easily rout his competition to win the GOP nomination by a landslide. I also predicted that the Presidential race between Obama and Romney would be very close until election day. But that on election day Romney would win by a landslide similar to Reagan-Carter in 1980.
Understanding history, today I am even more convinced of a resounding Romney victory. 32 years ago at this moment in time, Reagan was losing by 9 points to Carter. Romney is right now running even in polls. So why do most pollsters give Obama the edge?
First, most pollsters are missing one ingredient- common sense. Here is my gut instinct. Not one American who voted for McCain 4 years ago will switch to Obama. Not one in all the land. But many millions of people who voted for an unknown Obama 4 years ago are angry, disillusioned, turned off, or scared about the future. Voters know Obama now- and that is a bad harbinger.
Now to an analysis of the voting blocks that matter in U.S. politics:
*Black voters. Obama has nowhere to go but down among this group. His endorsement of gay marriage has alienated many black church-going Chris tians. He may get 88% of their vote instead of the 96% he got in 2008. This is not good news for Obama.
*Hispanic voters. Obama has nowhere to go but down among this group. If Romney picks Rubio as his VP running-mate the GOP may pick up an extra 10% to 15% of Hispanic voters (plus lock down Florida ). This is not good news for Obama.
*Jewish voters. Obama has been weak in his support of Israel . Many Jewish voters and big donors are angry and disappointed. I predict Obama's Jewish support drops from 78% in 2008 to the low 60’s. This is not good news for Obama.
*Youth voters. Obama’s biggest and most enthusiastic believers from 4 years ago have graduated into a job market from hell. Young people are disillusioned, frightened, and broke- a bad combination. The enthusiasm is long gone. Turnout will be much lower among young voters, as will actual voting percentages. This not good news for Obama.
*Catholic voters. Obama won a majority of Catholics in 2008. That won’t happen again. Out of desperation to please women, Obama went to war with the Catholic Church over contraception. Now he is being sued by the Catholic Church. Majority lost. This is not good news for Obama.
*Small Business owners.Because I ran for Vice President last time around, and I'm a small businessman myself, I know literally thousands of small business owners. At least 40% of them in my circle of friends, fans and supporters voted for Obama 4 years ago to “give someone different a chance.” I warned them that he would pursue a war on capitalism and demonize anyone who owned a business...that he’d support unions over the private sector in a big way...that he'd overwhelm the economy with spending and debt. My friends didn’t listen. Four years later, I can't find one person in my circle of small business owner friends voting for Obama. Not one. This is not good news for Obama.
*Blue collar working class whites. Do I need to say a thing? White working class voters are about as happy with Obama as Boston Red Sox fans feel about the New York Yankees. This is not good news for Obama.
*Suburban moms. The issue isn’t contraception…it’s having a job to pay for contraception. Obama’s economy frightens these moms. They are worried about putting food on the table. They fear for their children’s future. This is not good news for Obama.
*Military Veterans. McCain won this group by 10 points. Romney is winning by 24 points. The more our military vets got to see of Obama, the more they disliked him. This is not good news for Obama.
Add it up. Is there one major group where Obama has gained since 2008? Will anyone in America wake up on election day saying “I didn’t vote for Obama 4 years ago. But he’s done such a fantastic job, I can’t wait to vote for him today.” Does anyone feel that a vote for Obama makes their job more secure?
Forget the polls. My gut instincts as a Vegas oddsmaker and common sense small businessman tell me this will be a historic landslide and a world-class repudiation of Obama’s radical and risky socialist agenda. It's Reagan-Carter all over again.
But I’ll give Obama credit for one thing - he is living proof that familiarity breeds contempt.
30 comments:
I sure hope this Las Vegas oddsmaker is wrong. I hope Obama AND Romney go down in a firey plane crash.
HERE IS MY BET.... OBAMA IS ARRESTED FOR HIGH CRIMES AND TREASON... AND SOME HOW DISAPPEARS... ROMNEY BABY GETS ARRESTED FOR HIGH CRIMES AND TREASON.... AND RON GET THE NOD.... HOW DO LIKE THOSE ODDS MR. BET MAKER ???? IT IS HEATING UP HERE IN THIS LAND AND WE THE PEOPLE HAVE HAD ENOUGH AND NOT GOING TOP TAKE ANY MORE OF OF THEIR S H I T.....
So you figure we get a choice. Same toilet different shit.
RON PAUL FOR PRESIDENT!!!!!! I VOTE WITH THE TREASON MAN WAKE UP AMERICA WE NEED TO TAKE THIS COUNTRY BACK BEFORE ITS TOO LATE!!!!!!!!!!
The cabal want you to get caught up in this BS illusion of elections. SHEEPLE!!!
Wake the F up!
There are not going to be any elections. These guys are all going to jail.
The corporation is broke and finished all but the removal to jail.
The restored republic is about to stand up public and it will be the new caretaker government so often mentioned in the GFL messages.
I don't study Ron Paul either as he is still functioning under the corportaion and it is all unconstitutional.
If he runs for office under the republic...then I will suport him again.
There is no way they will allow him in there now...so stop wasting your time and effort even thinking about it.
Cross the bridge when you come to it. Mr.Ed
RON PAUL 2012
Since both bun boys are owned and operated by the Bildebergers and Associates it's still the American public getting screwed no matter who wins the election. I despise them both and for equally well weighted reasons.
Why be pleased that someone in Nevada (Mafia money that goes to support big govt) is going to be making money off bets about elections that are rigged and worked to put only the Cabal's choice puppet in the office we pay and suffer tax after tax?
It's time to say no to both parties. Too bad the Tea Party was neutralized.
Don't discount the Galactic Federation of Light. What cards are they holding????
I too think neither Obama or Romney will win. The American public does not want either one of them. I too think Ron Paul will win.
Why is America so upset because a Black man is running the country trying to help the people and not helping big business and the rest of the 1%ers
All Bets OFF the table....
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED!!!
FYI: THANK OUR STAR BROTHERS & SISTERS for their DIVINE INTERVENTION!
Yes, yes, yes you are right on Romney is exactly like Obama and he stated that his Father is Mexican meaning that he is not a US citizen and his solidarity is with Mexico so that means that Romney can not even be on a ballot much less run for President. So with him we are doing the same thing as Obama. Where is Romney's birth certificate?
Mitt Obama I mean Barrak Romney I don't know, I can't tell the difference between them. Obama is 47% white so I can't even see a color difference.
What makes you think there is going to be an election in November? Just because the, so called, main stream media says there is going to be one doesn't necessarily make it so. I've been hearing that there is likely to be a whole bunch of mass arrests, one of these days; including a whole lot of politicians. So I don't think there will be much of a government left, at that point, which would, I suspect, require a whole new election process, possibly at a later time, if the arrests do happen, as predicted. We should know, soon, whatever that means. I've been hearing, soon, for years now. But now I'm hearing that if the bad guys (dark cabal types) don't start surrendering and announcing their involvement against humanity to the MSM, by Thursday 6/21/12 that things will begin to transpire and the cabal will be removed forcefully; either by our military (not likely) or our off world brothers and sisters.
The voting machines are RIGGED a vote for anyone one but obama will go to obama. Just like they did for clinton and bush. Until we go back to the paper ballots.
Do you perfer the Red or Blue Kool-Aid.....more of the same!
The ONLY thing Mitt Romney will get, is Arrested and tried for GRAND TREASON plus CRIMES AGAINST HUMANITY...Plus Free room and board at a local FEMA camp while awaiting trial!
Obama will suffer a like result, but in the end will be vindicated because he NEVER really had any power over ANYTHING in the first place!...INFORMED PEOPLE, WILL UNDERSTAND "WHY", when all the "SMOKE" is cleared!
Namaste!
Rubio isn't eligible in the first place, and Romney will have to step down. Romney's name will be up in lights internationally very soon. Look at these links and have a look around while you're at it, at this website. These White Hats are MI5 in the UK and Interpol is working on this too as well as the German Federal Police. Help get the word out...is Romney going to build the Keystone Pipeline with Falcone's money? I think he'll be arrested before that. He is a thief and a lot of other things. See for yourself and pass it on if you will. It would help our country to clean up the mess and shine the light on the cockroaches. I'm waiting for the next report which is due out soon. these guys never post anything without absolute proof. Read them in order and it will make more sense...start at the bottom at report #37.
http://tdarkcabal.blogspot.com/2012/04/april-7-2012-white-hats-report-39.html
http://tdarkcabal.blogspot.com/2012/03/march-26-2012-white-hats-report-38.html
http://tdarkcabal.blogspot.com/2012/02/february-27-2012-white-hats-report-37.html
Obama is to politics like a hooker is to her john...he stopped the 'feelgood' handy he was supposed to give us all right after he got hired...imagine a hooker doing that...whouldja pay her? Wouldja hire that bitch again?
Why are there still Obama worshippers out there? Are there that many brainwashed boozers who want someone else to live their lives for them and call their shots? Really? I would like to know how can whoever posts as I AM think that Obama is a rightous hand of justice against the american people when it isnt the american people who caused the government to lose its mind after 50 years of foreign presidents and presidents who were pawns of the Rothschilds who never cared one wit about anyone in the states except for how much money they could fleece and all the idiotic laws that they could pass to protect correct military and politions who lied and caused scandals and funneled federal funds into their own bank accounts for their own gain, thats their fault, they did that stuff, not the american people. But, if there have been ordinary americans who have or tried to steal lots and lots of money for themselves then thats on them, but it cannot and should never be lumped into the whole of the public cause not all of them have done that, and if there is a rampant wave of corrupt behavior from average ordinary people its their own choice due to peer pressure or being brainwashed by media whores who had nothing better to do than promote filth and garbage in the name of non-censorship, but serisously, if this is god saying he wont tolerate anyone making up their own mind or taking responsibility for thier own decisions to be corrupt or decadent all on their own, and he has to use a loser like Obama to do it, then we have a BIG problem on our hands. Whoever this I AM character is, they are making things worse, not better by posting that trash. I wont ever EVER think or believe that the creator doesnt allow anyone who is a part of itself to make up their own minds and think for themselves and even become cruel and evil if they are convinced to be that way or are so traumatized by abuse that they snap and just lose all sense of consciounce and embrace that evil feeling out of rage or deciding to go with those hostile feelings cause if a person doesnt deal with what those feelings mean or why they feel that way, then they dont learn anything. I wont ever think that the source of us is a puppet master cause if thats true, then that means that there are no lessons, no individuality or freedom of choice. I wont let that be my reality, not while Im alive. I choose the things I want to do, and the things I dont want to do, and Im no ones meat puppet. Is anyone else here a meat puppet? The god that everyone thinks is god, isnt. Its an alien, ok? Can you handle that reality?
I think it's rigged and Obama will win again.
The votes will be counted in Obama's favor.
how about Obama and Romney extract from planet earth on June 21st, 2012 among others, that would fit the term 'clean house'.
One is as bad as the other. Both will not only be defeated, but will be arrested. Ron Paul will be our next president!
"It's déjà vu all over again." Yogi Berra
Hold your nose and vote.
312 Million People in the USA.....and these 2 jokers are the best we can do....Kinda' like sifting through a "Cat Box" for Gold!
Whoever thinks people don't like o because he's black and GOD is an alien is living in a fantasy world JESUS CHRIST is LORD and o is a socialist muslim kenyon who doesn't deserve to be in this nation much less the white house wake up people yall need JESUS THE HOLY SPIRIT will lead you to the truth!!!!!!!
DEAD-ON Brother!!!
the only color that counts is green my friend and this communist is against free enterprize
fool Obama is toast
logical argument by the odds maker and I totally agree with him .the election will appear close due to the leftist media but on the day of the election it will be a landslide for romney. We the people are sick of the hope and change theme form a man that has proven to be not fit to hold office. i guess we all liked the idea of showing how open we were voting for a man of color and not looking at all at his ability or experience. we have now paid for that mistake and will correct it soon
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